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Saturday, 13 December 2014

#17 Dorling - Population 10 Billion

"In 2011 the top demographic experts of the United Nations suggested that by 2100 there would be 10.1 billion of us. Moreover, they implied that the global human population might still be growing a century from now. So what can we do? Are there too many people on the planet? Is this the end of life as we know it?"


Population 10 Billion: the coming demographic crisis and how to survive it - Danny Dorling

First things first:
  1. The underlying foundations of this book are the UN demographic predictions from 2011, which suggested that by 2025 there would be 8 billion of us, by 2045, 9 billion of us, and by 2100, there would be a grand total of 10.1 billion of us - with 'our numbers still rising in a century's time'. 
  2. Dorling himself does not think that the world population will reach 10.1 billion people. 
  3. He in fact ends the book suggesting that we 'worry' less about population and more about other pressing matters, notably Climate Change. 
  4. Dorling is also 'a possibilist', not a pessimist nor an optimist (though much of his book is very optimistic about our demographic future). 
  5. I so enjoyed this book - would recommend it. 
Population has long fascinated me, and, I would argue, it is something that captures much of the world too; the rise in popularity of dystopian series such as 'The Hunger Games' by Suzanne Collins or 'Divergent' by Veronica Roth (if you haven't thus far, I seriously recommend reading both), as well as sci-fi movies like 'Interstellar' exploring the idea of finding another world to inhabit, evidence this ongoing fascination. It's so compelling how what we watch, read, and generally create reflects our fears and dreams, the things that concern us as they are being created. As I write these words, there are 7.28 billion of us, and our population continues to grow. Were you to watch the 'world population clock' I linked (click on 7.28 billion), you would find that more than double the amount of people who have died today have been born, just as the number of people born this year is more than twice the number of those who have died; hence you may conclude that we are experiencing high natural increase, and that our population is growing - fast. However, the rate of increase has in fact slowed, and continues to slow. The global acceleration that began in the 1850's ended in the 1970's, and we are now, very gradually, experiencing slower annual changes in population. The factors combining to slowly brake our population include decelerations in birth rates, death rates and total fertility rates, and there are many factors that combine to slow these themselves. 

Friday, 5 December 2014

#16 Tuan - Space and Place

"Space' and 'Place' are familiar words denoting common experiences. We live in space. There is no space for another building on the lot. The Great Plains look spacious. Place is security, space is freedom: we are attached to one and long for the other. There is no place like home. What is home? It is the old homestead, the old neighbourhood, hometown, or motherland. Geographers study places. Planners would like to evoke 'a sense of place'. These are unexceptional ways of speaking. Space and place are basic components of the lived world; we take them for granted. When we think about them, however, they may assume unexpected meanings and raise questions we have not thought to ask."


Space and Place: The Perspective of Experience by Yi-Fu Tuan

I have long been intrigued by this book, due to both its premise and its reputation (Tuan is credited as being one of the, if not the, founders of Human Geography as a discipline), and also admittedly given the price - £12 for 203 pages. My intrigue eventually won over the ludicrous Amazon price (cost-benefit analysis: intellectual reputation vs. 6p a page), and here we are. It's a book/essay-published-as-a-book of unconventional matter, dealing with something utterly commonplace and everyday in an utterly stimulating, abnormal way. It's 203 pages of intellectual workout, of existential challenge and introspective analysis. I was disappointed however by the lack of a coherent argumentative thread running throughout the text and no summative conclusion (one could argue that the Prologue serves this role); although the common theme of exploring 'space' and 'place' with regards to experience was present throughout, I found each chapter often narrated something largely unrelated to the former chapter. Such made Tuan's argument harder to follow. Nevertheless, he proposed a multitude of interesting observations and ideas with regards to the relationship between us and the physical world. One thing I can conclude for certain: Yi-Fu Tuan is so clever in his perceptions of the world. 

Friday, 28 November 2014

#15 Winchester - Krakatoa: The Day The World Exploded

"It is a volcano that absolutely and very visibly refuses to die. It is a volcano that seems to me to possess a wonderfully seductive combination of qualities, being beautiful and dangerous, unpredictable and unforgettable. And more: though what happened in its former life was unutterably dreadful, the realities of geology and seismicity and peculiar tectonics of Java and Sumatra will make sure that what occurred back then will without a doubt one day repeat itself, and in precisely the same way." 

Krakatoa: The Day The World Exploded - Simon Winchester

This book. Is so. Well. Written. The ideas narrated are illustrated with a voice of such ease, evident excitement and utter fascination, that their complexity becomes irrelevant in understanding as one becomes absorbed in the biography of Krakatoa. I say biography because, effectively, it is. Winchester starts by meticulously navigating through the colonial history of Indonesia and the progression in understanding of the processes of the earth (plate tectonics, volcanology, evolutionism etc.), prior to narrating our present understanding of the earth. He then discusses both the physical and the human build up(s) to the infamous August 1883 eruption, describes the eruption and its aftermath, and finally explores the subsequent implications and repercussions of the eruption leading up to its influences today. Truly, honestly, frankly - it is an amazing read.  

I'm sure most of you have encountered Krakatoa in some form or other. You may know it as the Indonesian volcano that erupted in August 1883 (amongst other less certain dates) killing 36,000 people and impacting the global community; you may know it as the word Squidward screams in an episode of SpongeBob (to fuel your curiosity); you may know it as a word to describe something of gargantuan proportion and impact. Or, conversely, you may never had heard of it.

My first encounter, rather less romantic than those of Winchester's spent gazing at the picturesque silhouetted presence of Anak Krakatoa (son of Krakatoa) in the waning Indonesian sun, came towards the end of September this year in an episode of the documentary series 'How The Earth Works'. This explored the international ramifications of the Krakatoan eruption on food production, geopolitical relations and health, whilst hinting rather sinisterly at the probable possibility that Anak Krakatoa, the reincarnation or descendant of Krakatoa, could interrupt the present solidity of life in an eruption not dissimilar to that of 1883. From the outset, this dystopian manifestation of the earth's processes has intrigued me; why would an eruption be so explosive naturally and socially? How could an event in one small corner of the world be so globally powerful and important? What exactly goes on in the earth? How much do we really understand? 

Thursday, 13 November 2014

FFT (7) A conglomeration of thoughts

Global Warming, Obesity, China, Stephen Hawking, and Imagination

Continuing on with the theme of randomness: a random picture of my shelf overladen with National Geographic magazines.
 
A disclaimer/sorry excuse for the sparseness of posts: much of my time at the moment is drowned by my focus upon English coursework and its associated texts/further reading, revision for impending tests, and training. My pace of reading is consequently much slower than usual. I am (was) however currently catching up on National Geographic  magazines (hence the otherwise largely incongruous picture) and reading 'Geopolitics - A short introduction'. My blogger account has nevertheless become saturated with drafts of half-started, half-finished, largely-incomprehensible posts regarding a range of random points. Rather than discard them entirely, I thought of compiling a post of mini-posts. And thus was born this random conglomeration of thoughts.

Thought #1: Global Warming

Cue sigh.

I know, it's a topic over-exhausted beyond belief, but that's only because of its importance. Anyway, this has nothing to do with it in that facet, but rather in terms of its constituents and validated nature. Making my revision notes for AS earlier this year and GCSE last year (both Geography), I was always a bit hesitant as to which section I'd put Global Warming under - human or physical. Is it a physical phenomenon? Or a human phenomenon? If you were to Google it, you'd get more hits under physical Geography. But then, isn't it a human impact upon the environment thereby making it a human phenomenon? Are we not largely responsible for it? But, then again, it is all to do with environmental quality and processes, so surely it's physical? And hence arises the tension between classificatory schemes of Geography.

Global Warming is exemplar in illustrating the inter-relatedness of Geography; I think it more both than one or the other. It is undeniably of human concern regarding both its causes, effects and future, just as it is undeniably physical in explicit nature and immediate implication. It has been interesting to follow the stance of articles such as this in the news over the past few months, watching the juxtaposing importance placed by different journalists on physical or human elements. To restore a more harmonious dynamic of our relationship, both sides of the relationship need addressing; yes, address fuels and the release of damaging components etc., but also address attitudes, understanding and ability to act on different levels (local, national, international etc.). 
 
Thought #2: Obesity
 
Obesity + (type 2) diabetes = strictly first world problems of affluence and excess. Right?
 
Wrong.
 
With all the current publicity surrounding methods of tackling the UK's growing obesity problem, from labelling on alcoholic beverages (agree) to weight surgery lowering the risk of diabetes (interesting, but not a very fallible nor complex discovery), contrasting starkly the Ebola epidemic in West Africa, I've been thinking about the exclusivity of our idea of 'first world problems' in terms of health in relation to affluence. Just as when one pictures poverty an image of a deprived African featured in an advert inevitably comes to mind, so an image of an affluent American or Briton hunched over a McDonald's burger forms when one pictures obesity. Both, unlike the link between a reduced risk of type 2 diabetes and weight loss, rather fallible clichés. The juxtaposition between obesity in the UK and Ebola in West Africa perfectly illustrates this conflict between our pre-conceptions and reality; it is inevitable that one draws the conclusion from these subjects that obesity is physical evidence of affluence and greed (the UK is a more economically developed country, with a high standard of living and quality of life - besides, excess is what causes obesity right?), and infectious, communicable diseases things of the dark ages only suffered by those living in poor, less economically developed countries (Ebola is after all prevalent in West African countries with low GDPs and sparse infrastructural health and education facilities). It is such an exclusive, narrow-minded ideological attitude to conclude these links. In the August 2014 National Geographic magazine, Tracie McMillan explores obesity in relation to affluence in her article, 'The New Face of Hunger', indirectly challenging such conceptions; she focuses on American families and the growing parallel between hunger and obesity (yes, you read that right; hunger and obesity are increasingly linked to one another). The gist of the article is an exploration of 'why [...] people are malnourished in the richest country on Earth' with growing evidence of obesity not in areas of total affluence, but rather poorer ones; hungry ones. It cites the rising trend of 'food deserts' such as the Bronx borough (37% hunger rate) of NYC where fast-food restaurants and outlets are densely situated but grocery stores sparse; the growing dependence upon food banks and stamps (SNAP); and the apparently conflicting reality of homes filled with 'the toys and trappings of a middle-class life' but reliant on donated, 'typically processed', foods to feed them. To borrow a cliché saying actually applicable in truth here - it is so eye-opening. Read it.
 
"Nearly 60% of food-insecure US households have at least one working family member"
- Tracy McMillan   
 
The reality is, with globalisation and urbanisation, access to TNC food outlets and processed fast food itself has risen dramatically on an international scale and hence as such food is 'plentiful' and 'often cheap' (certainly more so than organic foods), hunger is linked to obesity. Just think - have you ever been somewhere where you couldn't easily (or at least eventually) locate a McDonald's restaurant? Junk food is everywhere and because of its success, it's cheap. Going back to the aforementioned exclusive ideology of links, it wouldn't be wrong to link (in many cases) low levels of affluence with less access to services, commodities and facilities. With less money (or even the same amount of money) and growing food prices (bar junk food, which, inevitably, is on the whole arguably comparatively falling), people cannot afford to eat healthily and hence with reliance upon fast/processed foods, obesity is where their bodies end up. Also linked to growing obesity in areas of poor affluence is the time spent working and trying to earn a living; in many cases (particularly in less economically developed countries), primary income jobs such as manufacturing require longer hours for poorer pay. With less time to shop or exercise, obesity prevails as fast food is easy to acquire (its name speaks volumes - fast food) and people are unable to schedule time to partake in the minimum requirement of exercise [see this article published by BBC news yesterday]. People of greater affluence have more access to both healthier food and time for exercise/food preparation/food acquirement/food planning, therefore are objectively less prone to obesity - I say objectively because subjectively, were one to take into consideration the differing backgrounds of people with a range of potential factors affecting their lifestyle, it wouldn't be so straight-forward a link. As McMillan argues, obesity is rapidly becoming the new face of hunger. 

Thought #3: China

 
On track to becoming the 21st century global superpower, China is a source of endless marvel, curiosity and challenge. Interestingly, in his book 'Africa', Richard Dowden notes that were one to look back to the early 20th century, some African countries were marginally ahead of China/India economically in some measures; now, the stark opposite is true. Why did China so successfully develop into the powerhouse it now is, and not African countries? More specifically, how? What was it that enabled such progression? The referenced articles centre around China's socio-political composition and their intentions for the future. In the latter article, Carrie Gracie writes; 'Can a 21st Century China, a global power with a mobile and connected citizenry, find the answers to the challenges of its future by closing down discussion and uniting around the playbook from its past?' Drawing on her question (and based exclusively on these articles), the prospect of the socio-political structure of China being a predominant factor in the nation's dominance grows apparent. China does not comply with the Western moulds for political democracy and relaxed societal constitutions; it is unique and has nearly always been 'on a different path'. Is this uniqueness, this lack of conformity, what is enabling China to develop so superiorly and dramatically, steadying itself to leap ahead of classic world-leading nations? I think it may be a large contributing factor, though as Carrie points out, could potentially have some social and perhaps environmental implications limiting the sustainability of their rate of progress.    

Thought #4: Stephen Hawking 
 
"Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change." - Stephen Hawking
 
I found this quote whilst fuelling my growing anticipation for the release of 'The Theory of Everything' by searching quotes and stills on Pinterest, and was so struck by it that I began to sub-consciously analyse and interpret it (surely we've established by now that my mind works rather weirdly?). It reminded me of one of my earlier posts, 'What constitutes/validates intellect?', and re-engaged me with the subject. I am a firm believer that intelligence stretches beyond memorisation of facts and acceptance of the known; that it manifests itself in challenge of the norm, in exploration of reality, and in creation. It is not stagnant nor inherited (i.e. learnt); it is ever-evolving and developing. I cannot think of anything more exciting nor fascinating than constructions borne of the mind; reading texts such as 'The Night Circus' by Erin Morgenstern or 'Guns, Germs and Steel' by Jared Diamond, or seeing creative movies such as the work of Wes Anderson, or exploring theoretical findings such as by Hawking himself leave me in awe of intellect. It's pretty amazing, when you think of it.      

Thought #5: An extension of reality

Imagination. If not reality, then what is it? False? But it is based upon experienced and acknowledged realities; it formulates itself often in pretence of true existence. Think Deja Vu; think the conversations you have in your head; think the scenarios you envision in moments of physical stillness, in those moments before you fall asleep or as you stare out of the window, eyes lulled into a blur. Obviously it's not true. Obviously it's not reality itself. But it's not entirely false either; perhaps, imagination is quite simply an extension of reality; a mental existence.     

Until next time (which shall hopefully be less random and sporadically written),
C

Monday, 27 October 2014

#14 Moyo - Dead Aid

"It has long seemed to me problematic, and even a little embarrassing, that so much of the public debate about Africa's economic problems should be conducted by non-African white men. From the economists to the rock stars, the African discussion has been colonized as surely as the Africa continent was a century ago." - Niall Ferguson

Dead Aid: Why Aid is Not Working and How There is Another Way for Africa - Dambisa Moyo

Dead Aid proposes just what it suggests - the death of aid.
 
This is an excoriating and engaging assessment of aid, presenting both the story of Africa's failed past under its shackles as well as an envisioned successful future free from it. Dambisa Moyo 'makes a compelling case for a new approach' (Kofi Annan) to development in Africa; one that is presented in an honest and unapologetic way. It is time for a new era of development.
 
Side note: the aid addressed is not humanitarian/emergency aid, but rather concessional loans/grants.
 
The first thing that comes to my mind when I hear the word 'aid' is an image of a dazed black child with flies hanging around their head, and a voice-over of someone pleading me to text XYZ and donate X pounds to help give this child a future. From its innocent beginnings based upon the success of the Marshall Plan in helping the reconstruction of Europe following WW2, aid in Africa has grown into a culture of moral obligations whereby governments are judged by how much they pledge, celebrities are praised for their humbling assistance, and it is seen as an innate, unspoken necessity that the West helps Africa - it has become embedded in our psyches that aid is the answer to Africa. I have never encountered an explicit rejection of aid before; sure, I had read of the negative implications that it had generated and marvelled at the corruption and regression it had manifested, but I had always simply fallen into the cyclical indoctrination that aid was the answer. How to solve the problems that aid had generated? Send more aid - just a different type. Fundamentally: send more aid to solve the problem of aid. Ironic? If you remove the implications and devastation it has caused, the idea is simply farcical. The primary thesis of Moyo's argument is that aid is the disease of which it pretends to be the cure. She argues that a series of phone calls needs to be made outlining basically, that the 'aid taps' are going to be turned off finitely in 5 years time, slowly reducing African countries' dependance on it year by year. Otherwise, why would African governments turn to other more developmentally sustainable but less easily attainable sources of GDP, when they can quite happily exist upon money sent to them freely by aid donors?
 
Although I agree with Moyo in that aid has precipitated more damage than it has helped the development of African countries, and with her ideal of a world without aid, I wasn't entirely convinced by the theoretical assumption that aid, specifically in itself, is the cause of all the problems. I would argue conversely that it is the management and implementation of aid that has led to the negative implications that have arisen. Perhaps aid was given in the wrong form, at the wrong time, or with the wrong motivations? Evidence that aid itself is not an entirely evil ideal is illustrated by the success of the Marshall plan in the mid-20th century; the plan involved concessional loans to European countries by the US so as to help them recover from the destruction of WW2. Two important factors:
1) The aid given did not constitute the majority of the receiving countries' GDP.
2) The fourteen countries receiving aid, including the UK, Germany, Austria and Norway, already had functioning economies and infrastructural developments (at least, before the war - anyway, they had been achieved and could be re-attained).  
Now compare this with the state of the African countries receiving aid: the predominant characteristics denote countries which lack[ed] sufficient economic and political development, where aid comprises the majority of their GDP. There was little (if not nothing) for the aid to help develop - no structured plans or investments opens the way for manipulation and corruption of aid. This, coupled with the way in which aid is often blindly given and managed, will perhaps inevitably encourage corruption and disaster. Hence, fundamentally aid is not the source of Africa's failure - it is the way in which aid has been managed, the environment into which it has been fed, and the motivations (take the cold war motives of blindly gaining allies, regardless of who their support fed - be it barbarous, egotistic dictators or otherwise) behind aid. One may even go so far as to argue that the reason why aid has not worked in Africa, is because it is a Eurocentric/West-centric (is that a word???) ideal - based upon European/Western success, implemented by the West. Regardless, it is surely not aid itself in the most basic of principles that is responsible. Whatever you think about aid and its relation to Africa's economic failure, Moyo's suggested alternatives are worth considering.
 
"Study, after study, after study (many of them, the donors' own) have shown that, after many decades and many millions of dollars, aid has had no appreciable impact on development. For example, Clemens et al. (2004) concede no long-term impact of aid on growth. Hadjimichael (1995) and Reichel (1995) find a negative relationship between savings and aid. Boone (1996) concludes that aid has financed consumption rather than investment; and foreign aid was shown to increase unproductive public consumption and fail to promote investment."
- page 46
 
Before discussing Moyo's propositions, I'll quickly conclusively list some of the implications she underlines due to aid in Africa:
  • Tension between the Macro and the Micro (I have never studied Economics nor economic theories before, so this was all new and challenging to me - would recommend reading up on it briefly prior to tackling the challenges of Moyo's writings (or like me, ask some of your friends who study Economics to give you a mini lesson...)). The example Moyo uses to illustrate this tension is of a mosquito-net supplier: although donors sending in supplies of mosquito nets may seem great, it inevitably puts the local supplier out of a job, which in turn leads to a negative multiplier effect and gradual spiral of decline.
  • Aid is 'fungible' - it is easy to manipulate. Such describes in part the success of corrupt leaders and dictators who store the money for their own needs in foreign banks, ignoring the population it was in fact intended for. Aid thus also fosters a military culture, and increases the risk of corruption - if the people "in charge" have access to the money, people will fight for these positions and seek to dominate others. As the rich get richer, the poor get poorer.  
  • Foreign aid short-circuits the power of the middle class both in their existence, and in their ability to hold the government accountable for the expenditure of funds. So aid encourages a lack of transparency (opacity).
  • Aid reduces Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into African countries as potential investors are wary of the over-dependency upon aid.
  • Aid leads to a cycle of inflation, and reduces the competitiveness of exports. Think the Dutch Disease.
  • Africans are squeezed out of managing themselves by aid-dependency.  Aid could effectively be seen as a way for the old colonial powers to retain a political hold over African countries.

There are four elements constituting Moyo's replacement of aid:
  1. The Bond Market
  2. FDI - linked with the current investment in Africa by Asia, specifically China.
  3. Trade
  4. Banking on the Unbankable - Grameen Bank structure (i.e. micro-lending), Kiva, remittances, and saving.
Of all the constituents suggested by Moyo, I found FDI and Banking on the Unbankable most convincing and sustainable in a way accessible to Africa as it is in its current state. It may just be that my limited understanding of economics means I don't totally comprehend her propositions, but I wasn't as convinced by the Bond Market in terms of accessibility for the majority of African countries; it may be suitable in the future, but as an immediate and sustainable solution, it appears to carry too many risks to be effective with the level of economic and political development held by most African countries at present. At the time of the novel's publication (2009), Africa formed just 1% of world trade, despite its large population and richness in commodities (see page 118). One of Moyo's suggestions hinted at greater trade both within African countries as well as between them and other countries; such would require a reduction in trade barriers and tariffs, improvements to infrastructure in Africa so as to increase accessibility, in addition to perhaps the formation of a system such as the EU. Although this suggestion connotes multiple opportunities for growth and development, and hints at being sustainable in the long term for Africa, it may not be so in the short term nor for other countries. Again, like the Bond Market, I found the idea may be better proposed once Africa has established a steady growth rate with a low dependency upon foreign aid. The two ideas I did however engage with, were those of FDI and Banking on the Unbankable (as aforementioned). Both seem both accessible and effective in the short term, as well as sustainable in the long term on a local, national and international level.
 
After reading Africa: Altered States, Ordinary Miracles by Richard Dowden, I was convinced that China's growing role in Africa was nothing other than unsustainable and self-concerned. Unlike Dowden's largely negative depiction of Chinese investment in Africa, Moyo's is one largely of praise. Looking back at both comparatively, each present a rather tainted and biased perception - one focuses almost exclusively on the negative implications, and the other on the positive implications. But looking at them both together, a less biased and more effective summative view can be concluded. I still think that elements of the Chinese investment into Africa are unsustainable - largely the neglect of environmental measures and the predominant use of Chinese labour rather than native, as well as the self-serving motivation of investing in commodities for themselves - but on the whole, if such issues were rectified, Chinese investment may be on the whole rather more preferable to that of the aid-obsessed West. Moyo points out quite frankly that whereas the West views Africa as a helpless child, Asia sees it as a less fortunate equal with opportunities for the future; on page 110, Moyo points out numerous surveys revealing that on the whole, Africans view Asian investment as preferable and better than that of America or the West. I can see where they're coming from: whilst the West supplies aid, most of which is never seen or experienced by the population, Asia cuts this manipulative switch in the circuit and builds the infrastructure, supplies the tools, and engages with trade. Asia is acting, the West is stalling. As to the sustainability of Asia's role in African development, I agree with Moyo's opinion that it is up to African governments to step in and regulate challenges of Asian FDI, for Africans to actively engage with the investment and take control of their future. Many have begun to do so, brightening the future of their development greatly. Something which sprung to my mind when reading of Asian FDI in Africa was, 'why doesn't the West then invest the money they're sending over as concessional aid in other ways? Why not use the money to build the infrastructure and services, or buy local produce and distribute it to those who need it?'. Obviously there arises the question of a lack of sustainability and local investment into these services; but utilizing would-be-concessional-aid money in ways such as Asian FDI may be a viable alternative.  
 
"To the Excellencies and officials of Europe: We suffer enormously in Africa. Help us. We have problems in Africa. We lack rights as children. We have war and illness, we lack food... We want to study, and we ask you to help us study so we can be like you, in Africa."
 
- Message found on the bodies of Guinean teenagers, Yaguine Koita and Fode Tounkara, stowaways who died attempting to reach Europe in the landing gear of an airliner.
      
The question remains: who is it that has to act and extricate Africa from aid's central position of dominance? Moyo argues that seeing as the West were the ones to introduce the problem of aid, they should be the ones to stop it. I think it falls to both Africans and non-Africans; it's an international responsibility, although obviously, some are more accountable than others. In order to be effective and sustainable on all fronts, the decision to cut concessional aid and focus on other developmental methods needs to be a cooperation between Africans and Westerners. Yes, the responsibility of terminating aid needs to come from and be acted upon by the West, but the movement towards other methods will be unachievable and pointless without African cooperation.
"It's time to stop pretending that the aid-based development model currently in place will generate sustained economic growth in the world's poorest countries. It will not. The question is how do we get African countries to abandon foreign aid and embrace the Dead Aid proposal? They can do it voluntarily - as South Africa or Botswana have done - but what if they don't, choosing the soft option of aid instead? [...] What if, one by one, African countries each received a phone call (agreed upon by all their major aid donors - the World Bank, Western countries, etc.), telling them that in exactly five years the aid taps would be shut off - permanently? Although exceptions would be made for isolated emergency relief such as famine and natural disasters, aid would no longer attempt to address Africa's generic economic plight. What would happen? Would many more millions in Africa die from poverty and hunger? Probably not - the reality is that Africa's poverty-stricken don't see the aid flows anyway. Would there be more wars, more coups, more despots? Doubtful - without aid, you are taking away a big incentive for conflict. Would roads, schools and hospitals cease being built? Unlikely. What do you think Africans would do if aid were stopped, simply carry on as usual? Too many African countries have already hit rock bottom - ungoverned, poverty-stricken, and lagging further and further behind the rest of the world each day; there is nowhere further down to go. Isn't it more likely that in a world freed of aid, economic life for the majority of Africans might actually improve, that corruption would fall, entrepreneurs would rise, and Africa's growth engine would start chugging? This is the most probably outcome - that where the real change exists to make a better life for themselves, their children and Africa's future generations, Africans would grab it and go. If other countries around the developing world have done it sans aid (generated consistent growth, raised incomes and rescued billions from the brink of poverty), why not Africa? Remember that just thirty years ago Malawi, Burundi and Burkina Faso were economically ahead of China on a per capita income basis. A dramatic turnaround is always possible." - pages 144/145
 As the African proverb cited at the novel's conclusion says, the best time to plant a tree is twenty years ago. The second-best time is now.

Until next time,

P.s. (31st Oct) - this was in the news this morning: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-29843938

Sunday, 19 October 2014

#13 Palin - Full Circle

"The Pacific Ocean covers one-third of the world's surface and around it lives one-third of the world's population. Its 70 million square miles of water spill onto the shores of a richly contrasting assortment of countries. Some are global giants - Russia, China, Japan and the United States. Others, such as Malaysia, Indonesia, Australia, New Zealand, South Korea, Chile and Canada, are becoming increasingly important and influential. The coastline that unites them is now more than just a physical entity. It is a political and economic state of mind, called, for want of something more poetic, the Pacific Rim. Experts predict that the Pacific Rim will be the power-house of the twenty-first century. Commentators point to the final decline of the Mediterranean-Atlantic axis which has dominated the world these past two thousand years. The future, we are told, belongs to the other side of the earth. The Pacific century is about to begin." - page 5

Full Circle - Michael Palin

Another post, another book by Palin. However, you may all breathe a sigh of relief; this is the last book of his in my collection (as of yet).

'Full Circle' depicts Palin's circular (for want of a less repetitive word) journey around the Pacific Rim, through eighteen countries bordering the Pacific ocean; Alaska (USA), Russia, Japan, Korea, China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Australia, New Zealand, Chile, Bolivia, Peru, Colombia, Mexico, the USA, and finally, Canada. His writing is, as usual, both stimulating and engaging, a mix of personal insights, factual references and secondary observations. Unfortunately, towards the latter third of the novel his travel-weariness began to translate into his writing (I don't particularly blame him - 245 days of travelling across different environments, altitudes, cultures etc.), reducing the ease of reading. [It could hence be said however, that he very effectively conveys the experience of travel!] Thus, of his books, 'Himalaya' remains my current favourite. For me, Palin's observations from Russia to Indonesia were most captivating; firstly given his focus on the notorious physical nature of these areas, and secondly given his political focus within said areas.

"The valley consists of a series of narrow fissures opened up by a fault line, through which steaming hot water from nearby volcanic systems emerges in various ways, ranging from the impressive to the frankly theatrical. You can almost set your watch by the great spout they call Velican (the Giant). This shoots a plume of boiling water almost 100 feet high, once every three hours. Sergei, checking his watch, leads me right up to the blow-hole. I peer down 35 feet into the earth's crust. An ominous bronchial wheezing rises from the darkness, as if the earth itself is not at all well.

A path leads along by the river to a gorge, one whole side of which is punctured by dozens of horizontal geysers. Some spurt neatly out over the river, others wildly loose off in all directions. The entire 200-foot cliff wall emits a great wheezing chorus of steam which reminds me of King's Cross station in the 1950's. On our way back we pass other delights such as the Gates of Hell - two dark chambers whose cavernous entrances can be glimpsed only briefly through the clouds of foul-smelling sulphurous mist that guard them. Nothing is safe and sound and settled here; the earth seems to be in perpetual motion. This is nature at its most extravagant, melodramatic and bizarre." - page 31

Side note: how great is Palin's personification of nature? His allusions really bring the depictions to life (giving me a strong dose of wanderlust on the side).

Coinciding especially with the first segment (as aforementioned) of his journey is the infamous Ring of Fire - a horseshoe shaped outline surrounding the edges of the Pacific and Nazca Plates, notoriously seismically active. The seismic activity of this ring elucidates the presence of numerous volcanoes as well as earthquakes; in fact, over 75% of the world's active and dormant volcanoes are located here. Such stems from the activity on-going along the boundaries of the Pacific plate, predominantly that of Subduction.  

The way Palin illustrates the environment surrounding him is to effectively transport our eyes, our ears and our noses to the moment frozen in textual time, such that we acknowledge the life of earth; her breath, her speech, and her beauty. One thing I love about travel writing is the subjective observational desriptions of nature. In textbooks, the given desriptions are as two-dimensional as the accompanying pictures; they don't portray the archaic power of the things they depict, they merely underline black and white facts to be learnt. With personal insight and unique descriptions, as seen by Palin's writing on page 31, I grow more enamoured with and alert to just how amazing the world actually is. Exploring my current A2 topic of Plate Tectonics further through documentaries, articles and travel writing, mundane study areas like volcanoes no longer seem so repetitively boring. The earth is a living, breathing environment. Volcanoes, mountains and earthquakes are evidence of its life. If for nothing else, read 'Full Circle' for Palin's captivating illustrations of the environment in this particulalry active region of the world.     

It was also interesting to read of the ways in which different societies and cultures respond to the seismicity of the areas, and how reflective this is of their respective levels of economic development. For most, the volcanoes are used with the notion of tourism in mind. For wealthier countries like Russia, large sections of the land are cordoned off as nature reserves, utilised explicitly for scientific study and tourism; for less economically developed countries like Indonesia, they are incorporated more directly into everyday life, with fertile surrounding fields used for agricultural farming, the draw of the activity used for tourism and hence forth. In terms of earthquakes, the variation between magnitude and duration/intensity of destruction in relation to economic development, although less explicitly touched upon by Palin, is worth reading into (think the Mercalli and Richter scales). Take for example, the 2010 earthquakes of Chile and Haiti. In Chile, a MEDC, an 8.8 magnitude earthquake killed about 700 people, whereas the Haitian (LEDC) earthquake of magnitude 7, killed approximately 200,000 (both magnitudes are with regards to the Richter scale). Such stems predominantly from the countries' respective levels of economic development; although the magnitude of the Chilean earthquake was greater than that of the Haitian one, the resultant destruction was comparably much less, given the higher level of preparedness and preparation. With greater economic wealth, prediction tools such as seismic monitors are more accessible moreover scientifically viable, modifications to buildings and infrastructure are more easily implemented alongside strict construction rules, and the compulsory use of education and drills in schools or workplaces is arguably more effective consequently. Magnitude = level of destruction. 

"The water puppet theatre reminds me once again of the heady pace of political change in Asia. Twenty-three years ago the Americans were raining bombs down on this city. Now a show which celebrates the resilience of the peasants who defeated them is sponsored by AT&T, one of the largest companies in the USA." - page 114/115

I have always been interested in the two world wars (note: the above quote refers rather to the Vietnam war), particularly in the socio-political effect they had in the short term, and continue to have in the long term, 100/69 years later. Two years ago I went on a trip to Berlin and Poland in study of the WW2 Holocaust, following the development of it from its conception in Berlin to its implementation at Auschwitz-Birkenau in Poland itself, amidst reference to the present repercussions. I cannot verbally express the worth of such a trip; it is eye-opening, stimulating and important. It is so relevant, especially with regard to future generations as first-hand recounts and evidence grow thinner. Despite all the countless books and articles I had read, documentaries and movies I had watched, and museums I had visited, I had never before been exposed to the reality of the wars' continued effect on the world. Such is evidenced clearly (although not exclusively) in the demographics of both Germany and Poland's current populations. Germany now famously suffers from an ageing population, with a rapidly declining birth rate in addition to labour force, predominantly high out-migration levels and many areas that have fallen into a state of decline. Poland too has demographically suffered, with an imbalanced, unsustainable population pyramid; it too experiences high out-migration levels, particularly in the male cohort, leaving a sexually imbalanced and highly dependant demographic structure.* Socio-political effects may also be seen in the confounding stigma surrounding both countries, stemming from their previous political constitutions. Hence, I thoroughly enjoyed Palin's exploration into the socio-political effects of wars in 'Full Circle'. Amongst other examples, he writes of the sustained impact of the second world war on Nagasaki and Hiroshima (Japan), the subsequent and juxtaposing divisions within Korea, the growing understanding and response to Communism in China, and the socio-political relevance of the Vietnam war in Vietnamese society. Whilst some countries like China have excelled since the wars, in facets not exclusive to socio-political ones, other areas have dismally failed and continue to suffer negative implications. For the former group of areas, the war seems to have been utilized as a motivational driving factor for development, whilst for the latter, it continues to hold a socio-political polluting presence in the air. The relationship between Geographies of different periods, such as focusing on wars, is an area of Geography I fervently look forward to exploring with greater depth in the future. For those interested: the History channel is currently running a documentary series focusing on WW1 and 2 predominantly politically, called 'The World Wars'. It deserves a 5/5 rating.

Palin's opening point about these countries being the next global rulers is interesting to compare to how the (nearly) two decades following his book's publication (1997) have unfolded. For some countries, such a prophesy has been recognised, with China undeniably leading the way. For others, like Indonesia and Bolivia, their positions remain more statical. The role of geopolitics in determining these outcomes is equally intriguing. 

A concluding insight into my reading pile, which slowly continues to grow in height by my desk (I enjoy composing lists, in case you haven't thus realised!):
  1. Alone in Berlin - Hans Fallada
  2. Dead Aid - Dambisa Moyo
  3. GeoPolitics: a very short introduction - Klaus Dodds
  4. Quiet: the power of introverts in a world that can't stop talking - Susan Cain
  5. Space and Place - Yi-fu Tuan
Until next time,
C  
   
* That is not to say that the demographics of Germany and Poland are explicitly and exclusively resultant of the wars. Rather, the wars arguably presented both indirect and direct catalysts for such, by (for example) changing economic structure and stability, socially altering morals and roles, moreover resulting directly in huge numbers of deaths and relocated refugees. 

FFT (6) Is Global Warming a myth?

We are obsessed with our own manipulative utilization of nature to expound upon our needs and feelings. Lovers of words dedicate years to understanding the emotive metaphorical allusions of pathetic fallacy created by previous lovers of words; scientists and literal thinkers dedicate lives to manipulating the earth into providing the needs of those populating it; early risers and late risers dedicate coffee-fuelled mornings listening to the weather forecast and deciding upon outfits, watching the news and deploring over nature's effect on humanity. I lie on my bed as evening passes and morning is born, searching for co-existence within these two drifting worlds. The industrialised, bustling and busy beating of humanity slows to a whisper as the blanket of night warms it to sleep, and the magical yawns of nature fill the air as the world herself awakens from the superimposed sleep of mankind. Out of her slumber she emerges with songs translated and reproduced by humanity's best composers, lights and colours attempted by their best artists, stories reinterpreted by their best story tellers. She was alive before the conception of time; breathing before man's first breath; supporting life before the first child wailed in the orange haze of the afternoon sun. 

And yet with humanity's progress and development, she has been forgotten. Suppressed. Owned. Humanity no longer has time for her beauty and power. There are other worlds to visit and conquer. It is the utilization of her beauty and power to fulfill their whimsical desires and needs that is of importance. Nature has been underestimated. 

The world is awake and alive. Fuelling our hedonistic obsession with self-fulfillment, nature is responding with her own pathetic fallacy. Seas are drinking islands and coastlines; storms are consuming infrastructural entities; heat is cancerously tanning farmlands. 'The world' as a term copiously connotes both humanity as a population, and the earth herself. It is not a constitutional ideology of two seperate spheres; it is one. Whole. A unified depiction. What has been lost is the unification. 

I wonder. Do we, society, ever stop to think? Close our eyes, breathe in the earth and open with eyes untainted by egotistic lenses? Society is an extension of ourselves; we all, individually, constitute and validate societal ignorance. The earth is alerting us of the need to change. To unify. Nature is not to be controlled nor extricated; it is to co-exist with. Amongst. 

As the human world awakens once more, subconsciously forcing the natural to sleep, will we continue to obssess over our manipulated interpretation of nature? Or pay attention to the growing whisper of the inspiration behind the studied pathetic fallacies, the source of the scientific studies, the curator of our news; the environment? 

Is Global Warming/Climate Change a myth? Or is this a manipulated view which suits our sedentary preference for not having to actively change and accept our wrongs? 

Read William D. Nordhaus' article, 'Why the Global Warming Skeptics Are Wrong', and the findings of researchers at the University of Cambridge ('Greenland Ice Sheet More Vulnerable to Climate Change than Previously Thought'), especially in light of the recent Climate Change marches and the sporadic weather of the UK, and three things gain momentum in your mind: 

1. This is a very real thing.
2. Those, like me, who seemingly don't contribute dramatically are just as guilty as those who explicitly contribute to the problems. It is not merely an objective issue, but a subjective one too. 
3. This is environmentally, socially, economically, politically, UTTERLY unsustainable.

  A rather more poetic post than usual, but I feel sometimes that in issues so publicised as Global Warming, facts and figures become exhausted. (Plus, I was in a literary mood after reading Palin's beautiful depictions of nature in his novel 'Full Circle'). I in no way meant to subjectively romanticise the issue in any facet. 

The intricately dynamic relationship between Physical and Human Geography is something that enthuses me endlessly. I hope that the denial of this relationship is dispelled, especially in areas of immediate concern like Climate Change. 

Until next time, 
C

Monday, 6 October 2014

FFT (5) Let's talk about Ebola

Is the Ebola outbreak so bad because it's in Africa?
 
Question: what is Ebola?
 
Unless you've been living in a bubble of your own, I'm sure you'll have heard of the recent Ebola outbreak in Western Africa, specifically concentrated in Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea. The outbreak began in Guinea in December 2013, and was formally pronounced a Public Health Emergency of International Concern on 8 August this year (2014). As of this month, WHO estimates that around 8,000 cases (approximately 3,439 deaths) have been diagnosed, making it the most severe outbreak since the virus' discovery in 1973. The Ebola virus is thought to have originated from fruit bats of the Pteropodidae family. It is introduced into the human population via close contact with the blood, secretions, organs or other bodily fluids of infected animals, and is then transmitted from human-to-human through direct contact with blood, secretions, organs or other bodily fluids of infected people, in addition to surfaces and materials contaminated with these fluids. Current research suggests that the virus has a fatality rate of 50%. [For further information on Ebola, see here.
 
Question: is the outbreak restricted to African countries?
 
Although predominantly concentrated in Western Africa, there have been a handful of cases in America and Europe - but it should be noted that these people have travelled/worked in said infected African countries.
 
Question: so what impact has the location had upon the virus?
 
Not so much on the virus, as upon its scale. I think that the virus has been exaggerated in both its size and effect by its location in Africa; specifically in consequence of the level of economic development as well as the socio-political culture of the countries. To illustrate my point, I'll focus explicitly on Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea. Compare the UK GDP of 2.522 trillion USD (2013) to those of the three aforementioned countries and you get a stark juxtaposition: Guinea boasts a mere 6.193 billion USD (2013), whilst Liberia and Sierra Leone herald only 1.591 billion USD and 4.292 billion USD (both 2013) respectively. The level of economic wealth and development in turn validates the quality and accessibility of infrastructure and services in the country. With such low GDPs, Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia all have sparse accessibility to sufficient health care in addition to education regarding the virus, hence are greatly reliant upon external aid. Without these vital facilities, the spread of the virus is both accelerated and magnified beyond easy containment. Were the virus to have broken out in a more economically developed country such as the UK, although the location would have obviously had no effect on the nature of Ebola itself, its spread may have been contained with greater ease and efficiency, thereby reducing the fatality rate.

Equally important, though less predominantly so, is the influence of the socio-political culture of the outbreak's location. In several African cultures, the orthodox treatment for diseases lies in the trust of Witch doctors, otherwise known as traditional healers; consequently, many people have turned to these sources for treatment, which, more often than not, are unreliable. In the rejection of Western aid and health care to treat the virus, with large numbers turning to witch craft - some have even been reported to believe that the disease is a fictitious feat of Western governments, a conspiracy of something non-existent against the Africans - both the spread and fatality of Ebola is amplified. Another socio-political barrier to containing the virus easily is the level of ignorance (this is linked to the aforementioned point, but contextually different in constituents). In Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea, the average adult literacy rate is 42.4% (the UK equivalent is 99%). This figure is directly linked to the provision of education for the population, thus where the figure is low, such as is the case in these three countries, the number of qualified health care workers in addition to people who are knowledgeable (about things such as health taught by education) is minimal. Not only has this increased the reliance upon external aid (which, linked with the stigma around Western influence has negative implications for the spread of the virus (not for the virus itself though - this is a cause for celebration in viral land!)), but it has also inadvertently exaggerated the prevalence rate of Ebola as often people who want to help lack the skills/knowledge to do so, moreover individuals themselves lack the understanding to minimise the risk of contraction.

Question: so it's the African's own fault that the epidemic is so bad?
 
No. Absolutely not. The epidemic has merely been exaggerated as a result of the level of economic development of the countries, which is not blameable upon the African's themselves in its entirety. The level of economic (and it is important to recognise that it is economic and perhaps also political development, not other forms of development - although it can be argued that other developmental levels, such as the nature of the social development - which in itself is not bad, but the conventions such as large families and communal housing may exaggerate the spread of the disease - have contributed to Ebola's spread) development itself can be traced back to other factors and influences. Just read my last post on 'Africa' by Richard Dowden.
 
Side note #1: There were so many tangents in that bracket that I've lost my train of thought. My mind must seem as overactive as Briony's in McEwan's 'Atonement'!
 
Question: Okay. Let's say that the virus broke out in the UK.
Would it have a fatality rate of 0% then?
 
Not necessarily. Although the provision of, standard of, and accessibility to health care is substantially better than that in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia, that does not explicitly pertain to the disease being completely under control. It should be noted that although many are currently in development, there is presently no proven vaccine/cure for Ebola. Were the virus to have broken out in the UK, rather than Africa, the spread may arguably have been reduced given less social stigma regarding reality and treatment in addition to a greater availability of facilities to strictly control it.
 
Question: So, conclusively, Ebola currently has no cure and is concentrated largely, though not exclusively in Western Africa. Its prevalence and effect is not so bad as it is because it is in Africa, but rather both have been arguably exaggerated by its location in Africa, resulting from the level of economic development and socio-political responses to the virus in said affected countries?
 
Or so I believe. What do you think?
 
Following the Ebola outbreak via the news, sitting half-awake in the common room at 7:45am each morning, eyes poring over my BBC News app, I've been fascinated by the frequent mention of social stigma and resources related to levels of economic development and their relationship to the virus. I couldn't stop making all these arbitrary, subjective links between things I had read, hence decided to transform the conversation within my mind into pixels on the internet for others to engage with.
 
Until next time,
C
 
Side note #2: A stimulating documentary for those interested in the relationship between physical and human Geography... or just the explosive potential of volcanoes - How The Earth Works: Will Iceland Poison the Skies? It follows the Eyjafjallajokull, Katla and Laki volcanoes, all situated in Iceland. Plus, the constant struggle of the commentators to efficiently pronounce 'Eyjafjallajokull' provides plentiful entertainment for rainy Monday evenings.  

Sunday, 28 September 2014

#12 Dowden - Africa: Altered States, Ordinary Miracles

"History books will tell you about momentous events and complex politics. Memoirs and travel books give you the feel of a place from personal experiences. In this book I have tried to combine the broad history with the local and personal, telling stories of incidents, actions, characters that hopefully give something of the feel of Africa, demonstrate its huge diversity of peoples and places, and go some way to illuminating why Africa is the way it is, both positive and negative." - page 8
  
Africa: Altered States, Ordinary Miracles by Richard Dowden

I was immediately drawn to this book when wandering around Waterstones trailing my fingers along the spines of books, given the completely archetypal, conventional message it connotes. It is the classic worldview of Africa: a young, thin, black child, lacking enough food and clothes, looking sad, and clutching a football (the latter is obviously less conventional...). It screams 'help me'. It echoes the socio-political view that, as Tony Blair once said, 'the state of Africa is a scar on the conscience of the world'. But what has such a degrading, condescending view had upon Africa itself, from the view of Africans?
 
Explicit, frank, challengingly evaluative and analytical, Dowden paints a vivid picture of Africa the way it is; a view not romantically tainted as by Aid workers vying to obtain the greatest funding for this 'war-torn, helpless' place, a view not clouded by the removed perception of it as a place politically stormy and best left to sort its own tangles out, a view that is not external. As the Director of the Royal African Society with over 30 years of experience in Africa, his view is an internal one - an African one.
 
Dividing the novel concisely (yes, it is 576 pages long. But for the breadth and depth of the subject covered, its expression is concise in its ability to cover everything it does in so detailed a way) into sections ranging from 'The End of Colonialism; New States, Old Societies' to 'Phones, Asians and the Professionals; The New Africa', Dowden utilizes his experiences as a teacher and journalist based in Africa as well as those of his African friends and correspondents to illustrate what Michael Buerk brilliantly deems 'the real Africa'. As is unavoidable when Africa is concerned, he explores the history of colonialism and subsequent independence, the turmoil of African politics and its relationship with the West and Asia both historically, presently and futuristically (let's pretend the latter word makes grammatical sense - it adds a nice onomatopoeic rhythm to the sentence...), and the infamous wars and genocides, be they social, tribal or political. But what stands this exploration of Africa apart from others, is that he addresses the world identity of Africa given to it by the West and by Asia - to us, it is a problem to be solved by our aid, to Asia, it is a future gold mine worth economic investment but not a socio-politically complex relationship. But what of the African view of themselves? Has this too been tainted by the influence of the West/Asia?
 
Unfortunately, I believe it has. And in turn, I think that this has had subsequent implications upon Africa's ability to develop.  
 
One of the largest areas that Dowden explores the impact of such views upon Africa is within its politics; from the presidency (arguably dictatorship) of Mugabe over Zimbabwe to that of General Idi Amin Dada over Uganda, African politics has become synonymous with brutality and corruption. In essence, both the historical colonialism of these areas by countries such as Britain, Portugal and France, and their relationships in the late 20th and early 21st centuries have played influential roles in the birth of this synonymy. Under the occupation of their imperialist rulers, many African countries were allowed to develop in some areas but not in others; centrally, and ironically, not politically. The populations watched the behaviour of their British/French/Portuguese etc. leaders who did not engage with the African way of life, but often exploited it for their own benefit and the benefit of the imperialist nation. Unsurprisingly, come independence in the mid 20th century, African countries who had lacked development politically found themselves without a stable leadership structure, and so, lo and behold, militancy came into control through social conflict, often leading to men who led such military parties coming to power. Large numbers hence did as they had watched; they used their power to gain more power, exploiting the state wealth for themselves, using complex economical scams to pocket funds, and leading a biased, egotistic, materialistic presidential career. During the latter quarter of the 20th century, during the Cold War, both the West and the Soviet Union were guilty of blindly supporting such leaders merely to keep them on their side, rather than risking the loss of a country's support to the rival side. Thus, corrupt leaders were kept in control by external interference and economic funding.
"The imperial powers took down their flags and left. But it was one thing to say that the British should stop ruling the Gold Coast, quite another to create a country called Ghana. Hoisting a new flag did not create a new nation state. What did Africans feel about suddenly being Nigerian or Ghanaian or Senegalese? Or indeed about being African? What did it mean? Europeans had claimed racial superiority to justify slavery and then imperialism. African culture, knowledge and values were despised, African dignity and self-worth eroded. Africans were not allowed to develop their own political and social systems to engage with the modern industrial world. They were forced to abandon their own beliefs, identities and values and become imitation white men. In the end, the greatest impact of European imperialism in Africa may have been neither political nor economic. It may have been psychological: the destruction of African self-belief." - page 62
In the 21st century, the influence upon African politics is segregated between Asian (predominantly Chinese) and Western actions; China has taken a strictly non-interference socio-political view, investing heavily in Africa's natural gold mine through its abundance of natural minerals and keeping up its relationship with Africa through generously writing off debts owed, moreover providing aid that contrasts that of the West by building infrastructure such as roads and railways in African countries with Chinese labour. The Western role is less explicitly involved, largely focused on economic aid. Dowden notes the two juxtaposing views of where China's arguably 'preferable' relationship with Africa will lead Africa's future - will it lead inevitably to a new imperialist power, or will it aid in Africa's independent development?
 
I personally think that there are two fundamental areas blocking the latter path; both matters of sustainability. With its non-interference government-to-government policy, China allows African politicians to run their country by themselves, viewing it as an internal matter. In some cases, such blind support could enhance the strength of corrupt politicians in their manipulative rule over the country, socio-politically hindering development. Equally, with their attitude of, as Dowden writes, 'just get[ting] on with it' (see page 501), the environment has dramatically suffered. In 2007, 'severe damage to Gabon's Loango National Park' was caused as they built a pipeline; in the same year it was reported that '531 containers full of illegally mined logs worth $5 million were seized by authorities at Nacala port, but the authorities let the Chinese get away with it'; and, after the retirement of Ben Mkapa from presidency over Tanzania, the Chinese government built him a 'magnificent new road to his village near the southern border and a bridge across the river into Mozambique - it went straight through a national park'. This, coupled with the exploitation of local wealth as much of Africa's potential is claimed externally (not merely blameable on the Chinese), is not only environmentally unsustainable, but a huge hindrance to development.
 
"So when people say, 'African solutions to African problems,' or 'Let the Africans sort it out for themselves,' or 'You must help Africans', I reply: 'Which Africans? Those inside or outside the house?'" - page 70
 
What relationship are we meant to have with Africa then? The quote above is one that stuck with me as I read the book, largely due to its direct challenge of my own ideas. Throughout the book, Dowden explores such an idea of exactly how to help Africa, and through whom; conclusively, I think that it is right to provide the tools for development, be they economic (explicit aid), social (health care, education etc.) or physical (infrastructure), and allow the Africans themselves to play the central role in their own development, but that one of the pivotal points Dowden stresses is who exactly receives these tools. Fall into the wrong hands, and they will be wasted, exploited for personal materialistic gain, or neglected. You could pour billions of pounds worth of aid into a single country, provide them with enough tools to bring adult literacy rates to 99% and sustainably produce enough food to feed the population, but if they are given to a corrupt or biased leader, such aid will never reach the people. It will never be used for development.
 
Examples of wasted/exploited aid are explored in both Somalia and Rwanda; in Somalia, Dowden writes of aid workers inevitably feeding the perpetrators and militants of the civil wars, leaving the population starving - 'there is no such thing as neutrality. Intervention is interference. Whatever aid workers' motives, their intervention has military and political effects. {...} Here, they even provided surplus food aid which was grabbed by the killer militants who sold it and brought new weapons with the profits' (page 109). Indirectly, aid can feed and prolong the corruption. Similar exemplifications of aid exploitation and misuse were highlighted in the Rwandan genocide, where Dowden writes of 'the aid agencies ignor[ing] the survivors of the genocide across the border inside Rwanda. Instead, they swamped the camps with so much food that the defeated genocidal army encamped nearby was able to gather it up, sell it and buy guns and ammunition. The aid industry contributed to the continuation of the genocide' (page 248). Although obviously this was an unforeseen consequence of the aid, such explicitly illustrates the problems underlying aid.  
 
Dowden's exploration of another type of aid was equally fascinating and inspiring (not as in 'Yay! This is awesome!' but as in 'wow. I really want to do something about that'): AIDS. Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome. Linking with the aforementioned theme of aid/help within Africa not being aimed at Africans but at the attitude of outsiders (i.e. American companies come up with campaigns to run in Africa, but inevitabely their perception of Africa socially is based upon American society), was Dowden's investigation into the failure of the ABC campaign - Abstinence, Be Faithful or reduce the number of partners, and always use a condom. Dowden suggests that one facet leading to the failure of this campaign is that it is not concurrent with African culture; he suggests that it is not something they are socially comfortable with talking about, that it undermines the machismo of males and it is drilled into students such that, although they can recite it, it holds no meaning for them. In several communities, the reality of AIDS and its transition is implemented only after the experience of someone within said community suffering from the disease. More listening, less talking, for future campaign structures? 
 
"The causes of Africa's failure are hotly debated. Is it caused by the rest of the world; the unfair trading systems, international capitalism and its agents, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund? Is Africa the victim of a neo-colonialist conspiracy to keep it poor, a continuation of imperialism and exploitation that dates back to the slave trade? Or did Africa's leaders cause Africa to fail? Aid agencies, the elite themselves and Africans outside the continent tend to blame external factors, mainly the IMF and the international trade rules. Africa's poor and middle class - at least those who are not part of the ruling elites - tend to blame internal factors, mainly their leaders. So do most people who do business in Africa. The external factors begin with bad geography and bad history. Africa is endowed with natural resources, minerals, forests and, parts of it, water in abundance. It is a rich continent with a lot of poor people. But economic development in Africa was designed to benefit outsiders, not Africans." - page 266 

Altered States, Ordinary Miracles. It is undeniable that the socio-political world views of Africa have had implications for its development, altering the state of countries socially, politically, economically and environmentally. Perhaps in equal light, the key to unlocking its developmental potential lies in shedding the complications of external advice and allowing an ordinary miracle to take place; unbiased cooperation with Africans, sustainable schemes implemented with their involvement to encourage development, and transparent communications. An ordinary African miracle. 

I 100% recommend 'Africa' as a read. It challenges some of the most relevant questions facing our generation in the relationship with Africa. 

To end with: a thought-provoking poem written from a mother to her daughter, performed at the UN Climate Summit - see here for the video.
 

Wednesday, 17 September 2014

#11 Palin - Pole to Pole

"A journey from North to South Poles along the 30 degrees East line of longitude, chosen because it crossed the greatest amount of land." 


Pole to Pole - Michael Palin

'Pole to Pole' is another geographical literary feat by Palin. I was initially apprehensive to read this travel writing, given the limited connotations of both the book's name and cover - even as I read it around school I received questions on why I'd read a book about penguins and polar bears... - but, as they say, DON'T JUDGE A BOOK BY ITS COVER! (And read the blurb before mentally passing judgement). 'Pole to Pole' follows Palin's journey between July and December 1991 through seventeen countries, starting in the North Pole and ending at the South Pole, along the 30 degree East line of longitude. The most important word of the title is overshadowed by the two Poles sandwiching it: TO. Only around 7% of the text is actually spent covering the Poles; rather, the bulk focuses upon his journey through North-East Europe and Africa. The sheer diversity that exists within the human race and the environment within just seventeen countries (on a modern atlas it would in fact be twenty countries) is absolutely fascinating. Honestly. 

One of the things I enjoyed most about this book was an unintended feature of Palin's journey; the juxtaposition between the modern world and its 23-years-ago-self. Who knew that the world could have changed so drastically within the lifetime of many people we know? Or at least, who really takes the time to acknowledge and consider this fact within a smaller spectrum than the contrast between half a century ago and now? I wish more people were exposed to such things. The renowned changes in the USSR (a) and South Africa (b) enthralled me most prominently because a) it reflected what is currently going on in Ukraine and Russia, and b) that was the environment my parents grew up/were 20-somethings in. And yet historical geography feels so distant. The interrelation of our present and the past is a fact both challenging and enthusing. It bears with it questions of sustainability and advancement - do these notions possess facets concealed in the past yet coming to light in the present?

"1991 was an exceptional year. A quarter of the countries we visited had undergone, or were undergoing, momentous changes. Communism disappeared in the USSR and apartheid in South Africa. We arrived in Ethiopia four months after the conclusion of a civil war that had occupied parts of the country for thirty years and in Zambia on the day Kenneth Kaunda's 28-year reign ended." - page 6

Given the book cover and title, it seems only fitting to expand upon the striking elements of the two poles. When reading of the relationship between man and nature existing in these locations, I was reminded of a quote from Sir David Attenborough; 
"Instead of controlling the environment for the benefit of the population, perhaps it's time to control the population to allow the survival of the environment."
This particular dynamic of our relationship with the world is something that I am especially enthused about; the idea of control. I think it's in human nature to seek control of things; we're only content or comfortable when we feel in control. But nature is not something to control. As I said in my musings about Palin's 'Himalaya', it is something to co-exist with. I loved Palin's depiction of such an acceptance in the South Pole, where he writes of the devotion of the small human population to keep pollution to an absolute minimum, so much so that toilet excretions are collected in a bag and shipped to South America to be disposed of! It was also interesting to read of the way of life experienced by those living in the Arctic where, unlike our culture, life is lived in accordance with nature's control. Palin writes of needing a 'mental adjustment to be back where humans control the environment, rather than the other way round' when he arrives in Helsinki (page 51). It equally challenged the idea of comparative levels of development, drawing ambiguous parallels to the writing of Jared Diamond upon traditional societies; fundamentally and in the most basic sense (excluding extremities which of course exist as anomalies), is the Western world really socially and environmentally more advanced? The economic superiority is undeniable, lending the ideal of MEDCs and LEDCs. But perhaps not so dramatically socially nor environmentally. 

"I'm told that there is a serious water crisis in the town. Wells have been sunk but the water is brackish. Southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya are becoming part of the Sahel - the sub-Saharan area that is turning rapidly into desert. This information only serves to turn my particular gloom into a general gloom. So little of what I have seen so far in Africa can by any stretch of the imagination be described as progress, with the possible exception of the pump and well I saw yesterday near Boditi. Maybe 'progress' is a Western concept, irrelevant in African terms. Talk of 'solutions' and 'ways forward' may make us feel better but can mean nothing until the yawning gap between Western and African culture begins to narrow and that probably requires a lot more listening and a lot less talking." - page 185/6

My response to such a statement as recorded in the margin of my book: YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (followed by a conundrum of stars and underlinings).

"Nick is hopeful that the Ethiopians will be able to solve their own problems. [...] If the new government can give some encouragement to farmers to grow for profit, he believes that Oxfam, along with other non-government agencies, could help the country to a stage which, as he puts it, 'Oxfam hopes to do itself out of a job.'" - page 180

"Oxfam's programme is designed to require the minimum amount of cost and technological expertise. There is little point in pouring money into sophisticated technology unless the local people can use it and repair it when it goes wrong." - page 183

I couldn't agree more. No combination of words could have summed up my views on aiding development in LEDCs more proficiently. It is not a matter of using our 'superiority' to develop countries less fortunate than ourselves, nor of implementing our 'perfect' solutions to our problems into their cultures. Rather, it is a matter of providing the tools and accessibility to resources such as physical tools or education, so that they may develop individually and solve their own problems. It is a process of communication, not leadership. It is important to recognise the divide between our perception of such areas and their inhabitants' - to us, as Palin writes on page 153, it may be a 'war-torn, famine-ridden country on the brink of economic collapse' but to those living there, it is home. 

Of a similar message, I am child-on-christmas-day-excited to now read 'Africa: Altered States, Ordinary Miracles' by Richard Dowden. Ah!! 

Until next time,
C